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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10494204060801201401601809879

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.50.2
32.532.8
Auto10.0
Teleop20.3
End3.2
blue by 0.7
3175
#21
34.20.6
36.235.5
Auto13.7
Teleop18.6
End2.0
Second
5152
#25
30.90.2
32.532.7
Auto9.5
Teleop19.2
End2.1
red by 7.0
7211
#34
23.90.6
26.425.8
Auto6.0
Teleop15.6
End2.3
Third
4392
#13
25.80.2
27.727.9
Auto13.8
Teleop11.0
End1.0
red by 5.4
5505
#26
20.40.6
23.823.2
Auto8.0
Teleop9.1
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
96%Melody oddsEarned93%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
26%Ensemble oddsMissed49%Ensemble oddsMissed