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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions895902040801001201408839

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
910
#9
31.80.3
27.226.9
Auto10.8
Teleop18.9
End2.1
red by 6.0
2851
#10
25.81.2
26.625.4
Auto8.5
Teleop14.8
End2.5
Second
3707
#11
25.90.3
23.823.5
Auto8.8
Teleop13.5
End3.6
red by 9.7
5901
#37
16.21.2
19.318.1
Auto6.7
Teleop7.4
End2.1
Third
6569
#28
25.00.3
26.326.0
Auto7.3
Teleop15.5
End2.2
red by 14.3
9743
#36
10.71.2
11.210.0
Auto5.8
Teleop4.0
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
68%Melody oddsEarned35%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
21%Ensemble oddsEarned5%Ensemble oddsMissed