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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8010120406012014016018081102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3322
#14
32.70.3
29.129.4
Auto12.5
Teleop17.0
End3.2
blue by 10.2
43.00.9
36.737.5
Auto17.7
Teleop21.9
End3.3
Second
4237
#29
25.50.3
24.624.8
Auto11.7
Teleop11.9
End1.9
blue by 9.4
245
#5
34.90.9
32.433.3
Auto11.4
Teleop20.9
End2.6
Third
3452
#20
21.90.3
21.221.5
Auto5.5
Teleop15.0
End1.3
red by 1.4
2960
#24
20.50.9
19.720.6
Auto5.5
Teleop9.9
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
77%Melody oddsEarned95%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
32%Ensemble oddsMissed27%Ensemble oddsEarned