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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58102020408012014016070103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5424
#31
23.90.8
22.223.0
Auto8.9
Teleop12.8
End2.2
blue by 9.2
7197
#15
33.11.0
29.630.7
Auto12.1
Teleop19.0
End2.0
Second
503
#30
21.70.8
18.519.3
Auto8.1
Teleop10.5
End3.1
blue by 10.0
85
#19
31.71.0
32.833.9
Auto11.3
Teleop18.4
End2.0
Third
5561
#27
17.70.8
16.817.6
Auto9.9
Teleop5.5
End2.3
blue by 8.4
3620
#22
26.21.0
24.825.8
Auto11.8
Teleop12.4
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
37%Melody oddsEarned93%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
28%Ensemble oddsMissed26%Ensemble oddsEarned