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Red98
400424.9
521629.9
54828.0
Blue106
2743.5
7029.8
828623.9
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7810520406012014016098106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.91.6
26.628.2
Auto7.6
Teleop19.4
End2.8
blue by 13.7
27
#3
43.50.9
39.940.8
Auto12.6
Teleop26.8
End4.1
Second
548
#8
28.01.6
22.924.5
Auto8.9
Teleop15.7
End3.4
blue by 1.8
70
#4
29.80.9
28.829.7
Auto8.9
Teleop15.5
End5.4
Third
4004
#32
24.91.6
24.426.1
Auto6.0
Teleop16.4
End2.4
red by 1.0
8286
#23
23.90.9
23.324.2
Auto11.8
Teleop10.1
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
80%Melody oddsEarned96%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
33%Ensemble oddsEarned52%Ensemble oddsEarned