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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions641152040801001401601806196

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5152
#25
30.90.2
32.732.5
Auto9.5
Teleop19.2
End2.1
blue by 13.3
44.20.5
41.941.4
Auto16.4
Teleop23.0
End4.8
Second
3602
#38
19.50.2
19.719.5
Auto8.0
Teleop8.7
End2.8
blue by 14.0
33.50.5
32.832.3
Auto10.0
Teleop20.3
End3.2
Third
6085
#39
14.20.2
11.611.4
Auto5.7
Teleop6.0
End2.4
blue by 11.7
3707
#11
25.90.5
23.523.0
Auto8.8
Teleop13.5
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
32%Melody oddsMissed98%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
24%Ensemble oddsMissed74%Ensemble oddsEarned