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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions857002040601001201401605483

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3655
#18
29.42.0
24.922.9
Auto7.6
Teleop20.0
End1.8
blue by 5.5
245
#5
34.90.1
33.333.2
Auto11.4
Teleop20.9
End2.6
Second
2851
#10
25.82.0
25.423.4
Auto8.5
Teleop14.8
End2.5
red by 4.2
51
#33
21.60.1
21.421.3
Auto7.8
Teleop12.0
End1.8
Third
4405
#17
23.52.0
24.422.3
Auto9.7
Teleop11.7
End2.1
red by 12.8
9743
#36
10.70.1
10.09.9
Auto5.8
Teleop4.0
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
88%Melody oddsMissed44%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsEarned8%Ensemble oddsMissed