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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions919440608012014016069106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3322
#14
32.71.2
29.428.2
Auto12.5
Teleop17.0
End3.2
blue by 10.2
43.01.4
37.539.0
Auto17.7
Teleop21.9
End3.3
Second
85
#19
31.71.2
33.932.7
Auto11.3
Teleop18.4
End2.0
red by 5.5
3620
#22
26.21.4
25.827.2
Auto11.8
Teleop12.4
End2.0
Third
503
#30
21.71.2
19.318.1
Auto8.1
Teleop10.5
End3.1
blue by 0.2
3452
#20
21.91.4
21.522.9
Auto5.5
Teleop15.0
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
82%Melody oddsMissed97%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
58%Ensemble oddsEarned16%Ensemble oddsEarned