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Red50
132214.6
83017.4
83748.1
Blue52
842414.9
567416.4
365523.6
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions265802040801005052

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
830
#15
17.41.5
9.711.2
Auto9.5
Teleop7.2
End0.6
blue by 6.3
23.60.1
18.618.4
Auto7.9
Teleop14.5
End1.2
Second
1322
#12
14.61.5
11.613.2
Auto5.7
Teleop6.8
End2.2
blue by 1.7
5674
#18
16.40.1
14.914.8
Auto3.6
Teleop11.8
End1.0
Third
8374
#35
8.11.5
6.07.5
Auto3.3
Teleop3.9
End0.8
blue by 6.9
8424
#11
14.90.1
15.315.2
Auto3.7
Teleop10.7
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
6%Melody oddsMissed49%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed