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Red45
780811.8
9047.5
376725.4
Blue66
377015.1
553518.0
360326.5
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions446420801004566

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.40.2
23.623.8
Auto7.6
Teleop16.8
End1.0
blue by 1.1
26.50.4
26.226.6
Auto12.1
Teleop12.9
End1.5
Second
7808
#29
11.80.2
11.311.5
Auto3.5
Teleop6.1
End2.2
blue by 6.2
5535
#21
18.00.4
16.717.0
Auto5.1
Teleop11.4
End1.5
Third
904
#39
7.50.2
7.37.5
Auto1.6
Teleop4.5
End1.4
blue by 7.5
3770
#20
15.10.4
12.813.2
Auto4.4
Teleop9.3
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed41%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed