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Red109
205647.8
68654.3
447636.9
Blue74
999517.0
87899.7
368335.2
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10358015010974

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.80.5
47.347.8
Auto20.0
Teleop24.2
End3.6
red by 12.6
35.20.2
34.835.0
Auto13.7
Teleop20.5
End1.0
Second
36.90.5
36.436.9
Auto9.8
Teleop25.1
End2.1
red by 19.9
17.00.3
16.516.8
Auto9.7
Teleop7.1
End-0.0
Third
6865
#23
4.30.5
3.84.3
Auto4.9
Teleop-0.8
End0.3
blue by 5.4
8789
#17
9.70.2
9.49.5
Auto4.4
Teleop4.2
End1.1