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Red96
205647.8
68654.3
447636.9
Blue79
999517.0
87899.7
368335.2
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions105590501502009679

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.80.0
47.847.8
Auto20.0
Teleop24.2
End3.6
red by 12.6
35.20.2
35.035.2
Auto13.7
Teleop20.5
End1.0
Second
36.90.0
36.936.9
Auto9.8
Teleop25.1
End2.1
red by 19.9
17.00.2
16.817.0
Auto9.7
Teleop7.1
End-0.0
Third
6865
#23
4.30.0
4.34.3
Auto4.9
Teleop-0.8
End0.3
blue by 5.4
8789
#17
9.70.2
9.59.7
Auto4.4
Teleop4.2
End1.1