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Red14
96781.6
750914.3
35605.4
Blue86
220037.5
720020.2
76238.6
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions187104060801001201486

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7509
#35
14.30.7
13.712.9
Auto6.0
Teleop6.5
End1.8
blue by 23.2
37.51.7
34.336.0
Auto12.6
Teleop19.0
End5.9
Second
3560
#33
5.40.7
7.36.5
Auto2.8
Teleop2.4
End0.2
blue by 14.8
7200
#10
20.21.7
18.219.9
Auto7.5
Teleop10.9
End1.9
Third
9678
#34
1.61.0
1.90.8
Auto1.0
Teleop0.4
End0.2
blue by 7.0
7623
#28
8.62.5
5.68.1
Auto4.9
Teleop3.0
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsMissed47%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed29%Ensemble oddsEarned