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Red79
92636.8
705820.1
124123.6
Blue46
68658.6
497626.5
876418.9
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions485802040801007946

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.62.1
24.826.9
Auto7.7
Teleop15.7
End0.3
blue by 2.9
4976
#16
26.50.3
25.224.9
Auto7.7
Teleop15.8
End3.0
Second
7058
#23
20.12.1
16.518.6
Auto9.7
Teleop7.5
End2.9
red by 1.2
8764
#24
18.90.3
17.717.3
Auto8.0
Teleop8.4
End2.5
Third
9263
#30
6.82.1
3.75.8
Auto2.0
Teleop4.9
End-0.1
blue by 1.8
6865
#32
8.60.3
8.38.0
Auto6.7
Teleop0.3
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
24%Melody oddsEarned64%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed