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Red66
872917.4
720015.7
83496.6
Blue39
7714.7
270623.4
69755.3
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions373402060801006639

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8729
#22
17.42.3
12.815.1
Auto8.0
Teleop7.8
End1.5
blue by 6.0
2706
#12
23.40.9
18.819.7
Auto10.6
Teleop11.6
End1.2
Second
7200
#19
15.72.3
14.616.9
Auto4.3
Teleop9.4
End2.0
red by 10.4
6975
#32
5.30.9
5.26.1
Auto4.0
Teleop0.4
End0.9
Third
8349
#30
6.62.3
5.78.1
Auto2.3
Teleop2.4
End1.9
red by 1.9
771
#34
4.70.9
7.18.0
Auto1.4
Teleop2.7
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
34%Melody oddsMissed30%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed