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Red151
83671.2
283467.0
59736.3
Blue214
394080.1
1166.6
192365.5
9%Model gave it91%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions158215100200250300151214

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+51
Endgame+65
Fouls+63
AutonomousBlue +21
9Leave6
3Coral scored#8
14Coral points38
23Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +30
21Coral scored#24
74Coral points86
2Processor algae#5
7Net algae#7
12Processor points30
28Net points28
40Algae points58
114Total teleop144
Reef
7L4#14
6L3#7
6L2#6
5L1 · trough#5
33Game pieces#44
BargeBlue +14
12Cage & park26
12Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +63
2Foul points0
151Total score214

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
836
#20
71.21.2
59.157.9
Auto16.0
Teleop44.9
End10.3
blue by 8.9
3940
#30
80.10.2
71.872.0
Auto18.7
Teleop52.0
End9.4
Second
2834
#19
67.01.2
63.862.6
Auto17.1
Teleop40.0
End9.9
red by 0.4
11
#39
66.60.2
59.860.0
Auto11.3
Teleop45.1
End10.2
Third
597
#75
36.31.2
30.229.0
Auto7.2
Teleop26.5
End2.6
blue by 29.2
1923
#22
65.50.2
64.564.7
Auto17.8
Teleop45.9
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
32%Coral oddsMissed91%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
79%Barge oddsMissed91%Barge oddsEarned