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Red161
945937.6
362069.4
432944.8
Blue205
223184.9
198776.0
958322.5
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions152177100200250161205

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+40
Endgame+50
Fouls+44
Autonomouslevel
9Leave6
6Coral scored#6
28Coral points31
37Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +40
22Coral scored#27
78Coral points96
2Processor algae#3
3Net algae#7
12Processor points18
12Net points28
24Algae points46
102Total teleop142
Reef
10L4#14
7L3#10
6L2#5
5L1 · trough#4
33Game pieces#43
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +44
6Foul points0
161Total score205

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3620
#49
69.40.3
68.568.3
Auto22.2
Teleop38.7
End8.5
blue by 15.5
2231
#46
84.92.2
77.479.6
Auto19.2
Teleop56.2
End9.4
Second
4329
#55
44.80.3
42.842.5
Auto10.5
Teleop32.4
End2.0
blue by 31.2
76.02.2
67.569.7
Auto16.8
Teleop48.9
End10.3
Third
9459
#53
37.60.3
36.436.1
Auto9.1
Teleop25.4
End3.1
red by 15.1
9583
#65
22.52.2
15.818.0
Auto4.8
Teleop18.0
End-0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned74%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
30%Coral oddsMissed57%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
63%Barge oddsEarned90%Barge oddsEarned