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Red230
107662.7
427077.2
34190.7
Blue197
376772.0
414632.3
599087.1
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions241178150200300230197

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+23Teleop
+33Endgame
+33Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave0
6Coral scored#7
28Coral points37
37Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +23
30Coral scored#31
109Coral points112
4Processor algae#3
11Net algae#6
24Processor points18
44Net points24
68Algae points42
177Total teleop154
Reef
11L4#11
10L3#12
7L2#10
8L1 · trough#5
51Game pieces#47
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +33
0Foul points0
230Total score197

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
341
#7
90.70.5
80.379.8
Auto15.2
Teleop63.6
End12.0
red by 3.6
5990
#15
87.10.6
84.885.4
Auto19.9
Teleop64.8
End2.4
Second
4270
#52
77.20.5
79.979.5
Auto15.5
Teleop53.0
End8.7
red by 5.1
3767
#31
72.00.6
63.063.6
Auto16.2
Teleop48.1
End7.8
Third
1076
#28
62.70.5
65.364.9
Auto15.3
Teleop45.0
End2.4
red by 30.5
4146
#59
32.30.6
29.229.7
Auto5.5
Teleop24.8
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
99%Coral oddsEarned62%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
96%Barge oddsEarned68%Barge oddsMissed