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Red217
98783.6
234262.7
721170.0
Blue169
912643.9
551656.9
940870.1
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions215155100200250217169

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+38Teleop
+48Endgame
+48Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
3Leave6
9Coral scored#5
47Coral points27
50Total auto33
TeleoperatedRed +21
31Coral scored#24
111Coral points86
1Processor algae#3
6Net algae#4
6Processor points18
24Net points16
30Algae points34
141Total teleop120
Reef
15L4#8
11L3#10
9L2#8
5L1 · trough#3
47Game pieces#36
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +48
0Foul points0
217Total score169

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
987
#14
83.60.3
76.977.2
Auto22.8
Teleop52.6
End8.2
red by 13.4
9408
#37
70.10.3
67.066.7
Auto14.1
Teleop47.1
End8.9
Second
7211
#18
70.00.3
63.964.2
Auto11.4
Teleop47.2
End11.5
red by 13.1
5516
#32
56.90.3
50.950.6
Auto17.2
Teleop34.7
End5.0
Third
2342
#43
62.70.3
60.761.0
Auto14.2
Teleop39.5
End9.0
red by 18.8
9126
#64
43.90.3
43.743.4
Auto11.0
Teleop30.5
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
86%Coral oddsEarned8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
99%Barge oddsEarned19%Barge oddsEarned