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Red240
175674.7
60489.8
210665.8
Blue199
402873.9
529839.9
478857.9
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions241146100200300350240199

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+31Teleop
+33Endgame
+41Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
3Leave3
7Coral scored#5
37Coral points27
40Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +21
32Coral scored#22
114Coral points79
4Processor algae#5
7Net algae#9
24Processor points30
28Net points36
52Algae points66
166Total teleop145
Reef
10L4#12
13L3#6
8L2#7
8L1 · trough#2
50Game pieces#41
BargeRed +2
26Cage & park24
26Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +41
8Foul points0
240Total score199

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
604
#9
89.80.2
87.787.4
Auto20.8
Teleop60.7
End8.3
red by 15.9
4028
#11
73.92.9
71.073.9
Auto19.4
Teleop47.5
End6.9
Second
74.70.2
72.171.9
Auto7.6
Teleop57.1
End10.0
red by 16.8
4788
#27
57.92.9
42.445.3
Auto6.3
Teleop45.1
End6.6
Third
2106
#10
65.80.2
64.264.0
Auto17.8
Teleop39.1
End8.9
red by 25.9
5298
#33
39.92.9
31.033.9
Auto7.0
Teleop30.1
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
98%Coral oddsEarned52%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
96%Barge oddsEarned66%Barge oddsEarned