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Red176
1012041.6
580167.1
376772.0
Blue156
263745.8
752255.3
1046631.5
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20613750100250300176156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
+24Teleop
+20Endgame
+20Fouls
AutonomousBlue +17
6Leave9
3Coral scored#6
17Coral points31
23Total auto40
TeleoperatedRed +41
27Coral scored#13
97Coral points46
2Processor algae#5
7Net algae#5
12Processor points30
28Net points20
40Algae points50
137Total teleop96
Reef
11L4#7
10L3#5
3L2#3
6L1 · trough#4
39Game pieces#29
BargeBlue +4
16Cage & park20
16Total endgame20
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +20
0Foul points0
176Total score156

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3767
#31
72.00.3
71.270.9
Auto16.2
Teleop48.1
End7.8
red by 16.7
7522
#24
55.31.8
52.854.6
Auto10.6
Teleop41.5
End3.2
Second
5801
#51
67.10.3
67.066.7
Auto9.6
Teleop50.7
End6.7
red by 21.3
2637
#42
45.81.8
43.445.2
Auto11.5
Teleop28.9
End5.4
Third
41.60.3
42.241.9
Auto6.3
Teleop31.2
End4.1
red by 10.1
31.51.8
32.334.2
Auto6.8
Teleop17.5
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
55%Coral oddsMissed13%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
84%Barge oddsEarned56%Barge oddsEarned