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Red239
2481103.1
654855.2
414364.5
Blue215
945937.6
34190.7
198776.0
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions221223190200210230240250260270239215

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+19Auto
+24Teleop
+24Endgame
+24Fouls
AutonomousRed +19
6Leave3
13Coral scored#10
64Coral points48
70Total auto51
TeleoperatedRed +5
23Coral scored#27
83Coral points96
4Processor algae#3
9Net algae#6
24Processor points18
36Net points24
60Algae points42
143Total teleop138
Reef
15L4#14
8L3#10
9L2#9
4L1 · trough#4
49Game pieces#46
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +24
0Foul points0
239Total score215

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
103.11.2
100.5101.7
Auto25.7
Teleop65.5
End11.8
red by 12.3
341
#7
90.70.3
89.990.2
Auto15.2
Teleop63.6
End12.0
Second
4143
#26
64.51.2
62.063.3
Auto13.2
Teleop43.9
End7.3
blue by 11.5
76.00.3
75.976.1
Auto16.8
Teleop48.9
End10.3
Third
6548
#34
55.21.2
53.154.3
Auto15.3
Teleop37.7
End2.2
red by 17.6
9459
#53
37.60.3
39.339.5
Auto9.1
Teleop25.4
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
95%Coral oddsEarned86%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
94%Barge oddsEarned97%Barge oddsEarned