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Red137
293549.1
285156.5
59736.3
Blue208
210665.8
721170.0
11740.0
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions164196100150250300137208

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+28
Teleop+51
Endgame+71
Fouls+71
AutonomousBlue +28
9Leave9
1Coral scored#7
7Coral points35
16Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +23
20Coral scored#23
71Coral points82
4Processor algae#4
5Net algae#8
24Processor points24
20Net points32
44Algae points56
115Total teleop138
Reef
6L4#13
5L3#6
6L2#7
4L1 · trough#4
30Game pieces#42
BargeBlue +20
6Cage & park26
6Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +71
0Foul points0
137Total score208

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2851
#60
56.51.6
58.056.4
Auto7.0
Teleop48.2
End1.3
blue by 13.5
7211
#18
70.01.9
66.568.4
Auto11.4
Teleop47.2
End11.5
Second
2935
#66
49.11.6
53.251.6
Auto10.3
Teleop34.6
End4.2
blue by 16.6
2106
#10
65.81.9
61.463.4
Auto17.8
Teleop39.1
End8.9
Third
597
#75
36.31.6
38.536.9
Auto7.2
Teleop26.5
End2.6
blue by 3.7
117
#48
40.01.9
40.142.0
Auto5.7
Teleop30.5
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
24%Coral oddsMissed32%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
26%Barge oddsMissed94%Barge oddsEarned