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Red228
478857.9
83671.2
170180.3
Blue186
957655.0
1007957.1
107662.7
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions230197150250300228186

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
+38Teleop
+48Endgame
+42Fouls
AutonomousRed +1
6Leave9
8Coral scored#7
39Coral points35
45Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +37
34Coral scored#26
121Coral points92
4Processor algae#2
3Net algae#4
24Processor points12
12Net points16
36Algae points28
157Total teleop120
Reef
12L4#8
16L3#14
6L2#6
8L1 · trough#5
49Game pieces#39
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +42
0Foul points6
228Total score186

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1701
#35
80.30.8
77.678.4
Auto21.3
Teleop50.6
End8.4
red by 17.6
1076
#28
62.70.7
63.462.7
Auto15.3
Teleop45.0
End2.4
Second
836
#20
71.20.8
68.469.2
Auto16.0
Teleop44.9
End10.3
red by 14.1
57.10.7
59.058.3
Auto17.3
Teleop37.3
End2.6
Third
4788
#27
57.90.8
58.259.0
Auto6.3
Teleop45.1
End6.6
red by 2.9
9576
#36
55.00.7
56.856.1
Auto10.1
Teleop36.5
End8.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
69%Coral oddsEarned84%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
87%Barge oddsEarned47%Barge oddsEarned