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Red217
318242.9
83972.3
427077.2
Blue234
432944.8
60489.8
172762.4
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions203210120140160180220240260217234

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+11
Endgame+11
Fouls+17
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave9
8Coral scored#5
40Coral points24
40Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +18
31Coral scored#29
111Coral points105
2Processor algae#6
7Net algae#7
12Processor points36
28Net points28
40Algae points64
151Total teleop169
Reef
18L4#18
11L3#7
5L2#5
5L1 · trough#4
48Game pieces#47
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +17
0Foul points6
217Total score234

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4270
#52
77.21.2
75.276.4
Auto15.5
Teleop53.0
End8.7
blue by 12.6
604
#9
89.81.7
85.587.2
Auto20.8
Teleop60.7
End8.3
Second
839
#29
72.31.2
70.671.8
Auto10.3
Teleop50.6
End11.5
red by 10.0
1727
#21
62.41.7
62.664.3
Auto8.9
Teleop41.1
End12.3
Third
3182
#69
42.91.2
42.243.4
Auto5.9
Teleop32.0
End5.0
blue by 1.9
4329
#55
44.81.7
43.244.9
Auto10.5
Teleop32.4
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
83%Coral oddsEarned87%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
96%Barge oddsEarned87%Barge oddsEarned