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Red207
1166.6
439.6
634059.7
Blue233
551656.9
38652.5
233885.2
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions179199100150250300350207233

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+26
Endgame+26
Fouls+26
AutonomousBlue +21
0Leave0
5Coral scored#9
23Coral points44
23Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +5
33Coral scored#22
120Coral points79
2Processor algae#7
4Net algae#8
12Processor points42
16Net points32
28Algae points74
148Total teleop153
Reef
12L4#10
12L3#6
8L2#8
6L1 · trough#7
44Game pieces#46
Bargelevel
36Cage & park36
36Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +26
0Foul points0
207Total score233

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
11
#39
66.62.1
63.765.8
Auto11.3
Teleop45.1
End10.2
blue by 18.6
2338
#13
85.22.1
81.683.6
Auto24.7
Teleop49.9
End10.6
Second
6340
#25
59.72.1
58.160.2
Auto10.9
Teleop39.4
End9.4
red by 2.8
5516
#32
56.92.1
54.056.1
Auto17.2
Teleop34.7
End5.0
Third
4
#62
39.62.1
37.639.7
Auto5.5
Teleop28.6
End5.5
blue by 12.9
386
#45
52.52.1
48.951.0
Auto10.4
Teleop34.4
End7.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
42%Coral oddsEarned45%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
93%Barge oddsEarned62%Barge oddsEarned