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Red186
263745.8
1166.6
175674.7
Blue144
439.6
414364.5
318242.9
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20114350100250300186144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+15
+32Teleop
+42Endgame
+42Fouls
AutonomousBlue +15
3Leave9
4Coral scored#6
19Coral points28
22Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +47
29Coral scored#18
104Coral points65
4Processor algae#2
5Net algae#6
24Processor points12
20Net points24
44Algae points36
148Total teleop101
Reef
15L4#9
8L3#8
4L2#5
6L1 · trough#2
42Game pieces#32
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +42
0Foul points0
186Total score144

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74.70.3
72.071.8
Auto7.6
Teleop57.1
End10.0
red by 10.2
4143
#26
64.50.1
60.760.5
Auto13.2
Teleop43.9
End7.3
Second
11
#39
66.60.3
61.861.5
Auto11.3
Teleop45.1
End10.2
red by 23.7
3182
#69
42.90.1
39.939.8
Auto5.9
Teleop32.0
End5.0
Third
2637
#42
45.80.3
44.844.6
Auto11.5
Teleop28.9
End5.4
red by 6.2
4
#62
39.60.1
34.334.2
Auto5.5
Teleop28.6
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned81%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
69%Coral oddsEarned55%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
95%Barge oddsEarned85%Barge oddsMissed