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Red183
60489.8
940870.1
348917.3
Blue229
1046631.5
2481103.1
198776.0
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions195217100150250300350183229

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+36
Teleop+24
Endgame+28
Fouls+46
AutonomousBlue +36
9Leave9
1Coral scored#9
7Coral points43
16Total auto52
TeleoperatedRed +12
33Coral scored#25
117Coral points91
2Processor algae#3
3Net algae#5
12Processor points18
12Net points20
24Algae points38
141Total teleop129
Reef
15L4#12
8L3#12
7L2#4
4L1 · trough#6
39Game pieces#42
BargeBlue +4
26Cage & park30
26Total endgame30
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +46
0Foul points18
183Total score229

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
604
#9
89.80.0
87.087.0
Auto20.8
Teleop60.7
End8.3
blue by 13.3
103.10.9
94.995.8
Auto25.7
Teleop65.5
End11.8
Second
9408
#37
70.10.0
68.068.0
Auto14.1
Teleop47.1
End8.9
blue by 5.8
76.00.9
71.872.7
Auto16.8
Teleop48.9
End10.3
Third
3489
#74
17.30.0
27.727.8
Auto2.7
Teleop13.4
End1.2
blue by 14.2
31.51.0
31.032.0
Auto6.8
Teleop17.5
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
60%Coral oddsMissed86%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
59%Barge oddsEarned98%Barge oddsEarned