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Red165
83671.2
529839.9
318242.9
Blue226
580167.1
940870.1
599087.1
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14223750100200250300165226

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+31
Teleop+61
Endgame+61
Fouls+61
AutonomousBlue +31
6Leave3
3Coral scored#10
14Coral points48
20Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +30
28Coral scored#27
99Coral points97
1Processor algae#5
6Net algae#8
6Processor points30
24Net points32
30Algae points62
129Total teleop159
Reef
10L4#13
6L3#15
9L2#5
6L1 · trough#4
38Game pieces#50
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +61
0Foul points0
165Total score226

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
836
#20
71.20.9
64.865.7
Auto16.0
Teleop44.9
End10.3
blue by 15.9
5990
#15
87.10.3
87.587.2
Auto19.9
Teleop64.8
End2.4
Second
3182
#69
42.90.9
39.540.4
Auto5.9
Teleop32.0
End5.0
blue by 27.2
9408
#37
70.10.3
68.968.5
Auto14.1
Teleop47.1
End8.9
Third
5298
#33
39.90.9
35.736.6
Auto7.0
Teleop30.1
End2.8
blue by 27.1
5801
#51
67.10.3
63.362.9
Auto9.6
Teleop50.7
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
29%Coral oddsEarned65%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
76%Barge oddsEarned77%Barge oddsEarned