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Red120
942912.7
234120.6
248183.6
Blue62
178135.6
618622.8
748319.1
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11375406010014016018012062

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+48Teleop
+66Endgame
+58Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
6Leave9
3Coral scored#0
17Coral points0
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +34
13Coral scored#7
45Coral points25
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
12Processor points6
16Net points8
28Algae points14
73Total teleop39
Reef
5L4#2
5L3#2
5L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
22Game pieces#10
BargeRed +18
24Cage & park6
24Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +58
0Foul points8
120Total score62

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
83.61.0
73.974.9
Auto19.9
Teleop52.4
End11.3
red by 48.0
1781
#22
35.62.2
36.133.8
Auto6.4
Teleop26.8
End2.3
Second
2341
#20
20.61.0
19.920.9
Auto3.4
Teleop13.1
End4.1
blue by 2.1
6186
#17
22.82.2
21.118.9
Auto6.8
Teleop12.7
End3.3
Third
9429
#29
12.71.0
9.510.5
Auto3.4
Teleop8.1
End1.2
blue by 6.4
7483
#26
19.12.2
15.713.5
Auto3.2
Teleop13.3
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
74%Auto oddsEarned55%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
17%Coral oddsEarned16%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
67%Barge oddsEarned34%Barge oddsMissed