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Red22
997011.2
99727.2
748314.8
Blue112
1648.7
997113.8
545433.4
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3513005010015020022112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
Teleop+50
Endgame+60
Fouls+90
AutonomousBlue +13
0Leave3
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points13
3Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +37
4Coral scored#11
15Coral points38
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#2
0Processor points6
0Net points8
0Algae points14
15Total teleop52
Reef
2L4#5
1L3#3
1L2#4
1L1 · trough#2
5Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +90
0Foul points30
22Total score112

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7483
#11
14.81.0
18.717.7
Auto3.1
Teleop10.2
End1.3
blue by 34.0
16
#6
48.71.8
57.155.3
Auto8.6
Teleop34.0
End6.1
Second
9970
#13
11.21.7
9.37.6
Auto2.2
Teleop9.4
End-0.4
blue by 22.3
33.41.8
36.634.8
Auto5.8
Teleop28.1
End-0.5
Third
9972
#14
7.21.7
9.47.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop8.4
End-0.8
blue by 6.6
9971
#10
13.83.0
15.412.4
Auto2.4
Teleop10.9
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
17%Auto oddsMissed68%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
16%Barge oddsMissed12%Barge oddsEarned