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Red27
237057.8
17731.1
147410.1
Blue130
271345.7
105834.2
7865.8
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11516405010015020025027130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+87
Endgame+99
Fouls+103
AutonomousBlue +14
9Leave3
1Coral scored#5
7Coral points27
16Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +73
2Coral scored#18
7Coral points66
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#2
0Processor points6
0Net points8
0Algae points14
7Total teleop80
Reef
1L4#10
1L3#6
0L2#4
1L1 · trough#3
3Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +103
2Foul points6
27Total score130

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2370
#49
57.85.4
63.357.9
Auto8.3
Teleop41.0
End8.4
blue by 8.0
78
#6
65.81.2
61.460.2
Auto19.1
Teleop36.4
End10.3
Second
177
#59
31.15.4
31.125.7
Auto8.4
Teleop16.0
End6.8
blue by 14.6
2713
#28
45.71.2
44.042.8
Auto7.5
Teleop30.4
End7.9
Third
1474
#60
10.15.4
11.35.9
Auto1.5
Teleop6.9
End1.7
blue by 24.1
1058
#47
34.21.2
36.135.0
Auto9.5
Teleop19.7
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
78%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
14%Coral oddsMissed29%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
58%Barge oddsMissed94%Barge oddsMissed