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Red157
13146.8
31933.6
404139.4
Blue139
110040.7
16662.0
715344.7
19%Model gave it81%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions108175050150200250300157139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
+14Teleop
+26Endgame
+18Fouls
AutonomousBlue +1
0Leave0
4Coral scored#4
19Coral points20
19Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +15
22Coral scored#21
78Coral points75
2Processor algae#2
6Net algae#3
12Processor points12
24Net points12
36Algae points24
114Total teleop99
Reef
11L4#9
5L3#8
6L2#3
4L1 · trough#5
34Game pieces#30
BargeRed +12
24Cage & park12
24Total endgame12
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +18
0Foul points8
157Total score139

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
131
#10
46.83.5
41.945.4
Auto10.5
Teleop31.3
End5.1
blue by 15.2
166
#17
62.01.4
55.354.0
Auto12.3
Teleop39.5
End10.3
Second
4041
#16
39.43.5
31.635.1
Auto5.8
Teleop27.0
End6.5
blue by 5.4
7153
#23
44.71.4
42.541.2
Auto9.7
Teleop28.0
End7.0
Third
319
#22
33.63.5
25.428.8
Auto4.8
Teleop23.1
End5.7
blue by 7.1
1100
#30
40.71.4
48.547.1
Auto8.7
Teleop27.5
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
76%Auto oddsEarned87%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed44%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
51%Barge oddsEarned91%Barge oddsMissed