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Red178
159145.5
127735.5
632874.0
Blue133
856733.6
115527.1
431139.4
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions179121050100150200250300350178133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+29Auto
+59Teleop
+71Endgame
+45Fouls
AutonomousRed +29
0Leave9
9Coral scored#1
44Coral points6
44Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +30
23Coral scored#18
84Coral points64
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
12Processor points6
12Net points8
24Algae points14
108Total teleop78
Reef
11L4#6
11L3#6
6L2#4
4L1 · trough#3
37Game pieces#22
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +45
0Foul points26
178Total score133

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6328
#40
74.01.5
64.866.3
Auto17.1
Teleop47.7
End9.2
red by 34.6
4311
#41
39.40.9
39.938.9
Auto6.9
Teleop23.5
End9.0
Second
1591
#42
45.51.5
44.345.8
Auto12.7
Teleop28.1
End4.7
red by 11.9
8567
#39
33.60.9
34.133.2
Auto5.5
Teleop24.2
End3.9
Third
35.51.5
31.533.0
Auto5.3
Teleop19.7
End10.5
red by 8.4
1155
#52
27.10.9
26.125.1
Auto5.6
Teleop21.0
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
33%Coral oddsMissed14%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
83%Barge oddsEarned43%Barge oddsMissed