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Red88
226221.4
490957.9
964238.3
Blue110
208420.6
870844.0
1006326.1
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1459205020025088110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
Teleop+10
Endgame+22
Fouls+22
AutonomousRed +11
0Leave0
6Coral scored#4
30Coral points19
30Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +21
11Coral scored#15
38Coral points55
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#4
6Processor points6
12Net points16
18Algae points22
56Total teleop77
Reef
5L4#5
5L3#5
4L2#6
3L1 · trough#3
21Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +22
0Foul points0
88Total score110

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4909
#53
57.92.7
60.057.3
Auto15.1
Teleop34.8
End8.0
red by 13.9
8708
#18
44.01.1
41.943.0
Auto10.3
Teleop28.6
End5.1
Second
9642
#43
38.32.7
42.539.7
Auto9.1
Teleop24.2
End5.0
red by 12.2
26.11.1
24.425.5
Auto3.6
Teleop19.1
End3.4
Third
2262
#62
21.42.7
18.415.7
Auto3.3
Teleop15.6
End2.6
red by 0.8
2084
#24
20.61.1
18.519.6
Auto5.2
Teleop11.8
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
81%Auto oddsEarned72%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
63%Barge oddsMissed30%Barge oddsMissed