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Red199
404839.4
287761.3
694106.6
Blue127
50111.7
13867.1
234249.3
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22813150100150200250300199127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+40Teleop
+72Endgame
+72Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave9
7Coral scored#4
37Coral points21
37Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +33
26Coral scored#16
94Coral points59
2Processor algae#3
5Net algae#4
12Processor points18
20Net points16
32Algae points34
126Total teleop93
Reef
10L4#7
10L3#5
7L2#5
6L1 · trough#3
40Game pieces#27
BargeRed +32
36Cage & park4
36Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +72
0Foul points0
199Total score127

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
694
#3
106.60.8
100.799.9
Auto26.3
Teleop65.3
End15.0
red by 39.5
138
#29
67.10.8
62.762.0
Auto13.4
Teleop44.4
End9.3
Second
2877
#32
61.30.8
61.260.4
Auto17.6
Teleop37.2
End6.5
red by 12.0
49.30.8
55.654.8
Auto14.3
Teleop30.1
End5.0
Third
4048
#26
39.40.8
37.937.1
Auto8.3
Teleop23.1
End8.0
red by 27.6
501
#44
11.70.8
9.08.3
Auto4.0
Teleop6.1
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
95%Coral oddsEarned21%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
97%Barge oddsEarned60%Barge oddsMissed