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Red105
346760.9
318225.4
173533.7
Blue231
287637.5
568773.2
8887.0
8%Model gave it92%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions124215050100150200250300105231

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+42
Teleop+100
Endgame+120
Fouls+126
AutonomousBlue +42
9Leave6
3Coral scored#12
14Coral points59
23Total auto65
TeleoperatedBlue +58
13Coral scored#21
48Coral points74
1Processor algae#3
3Net algae#8
6Processor points18
12Net points32
18Algae points50
66Total teleop124
Reef
4L4#13
7L3#7
3L2#9
2L1 · trough#4
20Game pieces#44
BargeBlue +20
16Cage & park36
16Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +126
0Foul points6
105Total score231

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3467
#21
60.91.0
60.959.9
Auto13.0
Teleop38.1
End9.8
blue by 26.1
88
#2
87.02.5
79.081.5
Auto19.9
Teleop56.0
End11.2
Second
1735
#35
33.71.0
29.528.5
Auto2.4
Teleop25.9
End5.4
blue by 39.6
5687
#37
73.22.5
71.974.4
Auto22.2
Teleop44.8
End6.3
Third
3182
#57
25.41.0
27.226.2
Auto6.6
Teleop15.8
End3.0
blue by 12.1
2876
#20
37.52.5
34.136.6
Auto9.7
Teleop25.0
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsEarned89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
25%Coral oddsMissed89%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
69%Barge oddsEarned85%Barge oddsEarned