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Red81
105834.2
175741.2
632462.2
Blue180
740784.3
207929.6
107351.0
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1471815010020025030081180

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+67
Endgame+99
Fouls+99
AutonomousBlue +4
3Leave3
6Coral scored#7
30Coral points34
33Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +63
8Coral scored#21
30Coral points77
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#6
6Processor points6
8Net points24
14Algae points30
44Total teleop107
Reef
4L4#13
4L3#8
3L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
17Game pieces#35
BargeBlue +32
4Cage & park36
4Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +99
0Foul points0
81Total score180

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6324
#15
62.23.5
61.758.3
Auto14.9
Teleop42.0
End5.3
blue by 22.2
7407
#11
84.31.4
82.083.4
Auto22.6
Teleop50.5
End11.3
Second
1757
#46
41.23.5
36.132.7
Auto8.4
Teleop24.6
End8.1
blue by 9.8
1073
#19
51.01.4
53.354.7
Auto13.0
Teleop27.3
End10.7
Third
1058
#47
34.23.5
35.031.5
Auto9.5
Teleop19.7
End5.0
red by 4.7
2079
#36
29.61.4
23.625.0
Auto7.6
Teleop19.9
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
28%Coral oddsMissed76%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
61%Barge oddsMissed94%Barge oddsEarned