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Red89
854427.6
4847.8
242343.5
Blue119
808541.1
110040.7
31933.6
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions118134020030040050089119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
Teleop+18
Endgame+30
Fouls+30
AutonomousRed +14
9Leave9
4Coral scored#1
21Coral points7
30Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +32
11Coral scored#16
39Coral points57
0Processor algae#3
4Net algae#3
0Processor points18
16Net points12
16Algae points30
55Total teleop87
Reef
7L4#5
2L3#5
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#4
19Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +30
0Foul points0
89Total score119

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48
#48
47.81.3
43.642.3
Auto8.9
Teleop31.9
End7.1
red by 6.7
41.10.1
41.241.3
Auto4.5
Teleop30.3
End6.3
Second
2423
#31
43.51.3
37.436.1
Auto14.1
Teleop25.0
End4.4
red by 2.8
1100
#30
40.70.1
47.147.3
Auto8.7
Teleop27.5
End4.6
Third
8544
#34
27.61.3
27.326.0
Auto5.5
Teleop16.3
End5.7
blue by 6.0
319
#22
33.60.1
28.829.0
Auto4.8
Teleop23.1
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned77%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
33%Coral oddsMissed31%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
55%Barge oddsMissed64%Barge oddsEarned