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Red161
46754.3
173533.7
870844.0
Blue91
127735.5
226517.2
490957.9
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14712005010020025016191

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+8
+68Teleop
+58Endgame
+70Fouls
AutonomousBlue +8
0Leave6
7Coral scored#8
36Coral points38
36Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +76
20Coral scored#5
71Coral points19
2Processor algae#0
4Net algae#1
12Processor points0
16Net points4
28Algae points4
99Total teleop23
Reef
11L4#6
5L3#2
7L2#3
4L1 · trough#2
33Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +10
14Cage & park24
14Total endgame24
Penalties & totalRed +70
12Foul points0
161Total score91

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
467
#54
54.30.4
53.553.9
Auto12.6
Teleop34.6
End7.1
blue by 3.6
4909
#53
57.90.5
58.457.9
Auto15.1
Teleop34.8
End8.0
Second
8708
#18
44.00.4
43.243.7
Auto10.3
Teleop28.6
End5.1
red by 8.6
35.50.5
35.935.5
Auto5.3
Teleop19.7
End10.5
Third
1735
#35
33.70.4
32.833.3
Auto2.4
Teleop25.9
End5.4
red by 16.5
2265
#51
17.20.5
17.717.2
Auto5.3
Teleop10.0
End1.9