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Red219
172946.1
715344.7
16662.0
Blue176
110040.7
854427.6
242343.5
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions135111406080100120160180200219176

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+31Teleop
+43Endgame
+43Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
9Leave3
6Coral scored#6
28Coral points30
37Total auto33
TeleoperatedRed +27
24Coral scored#28
86Coral points101
6Processor algae#1
6Net algae#3
36Processor points6
24Net points12
60Algae points18
146Total teleop119
Reef
8L4#12
11L3#12
6L2#5
5L1 · trough#5
42Game pieces#38
BargeRed +12
36Cage & park24
36Total endgame24
Penalties & totalRed +43
0Foul points0
219Total score176

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
166
#17
62.01.5
59.260.6
Auto12.3
Teleop39.5
End10.3
red by 18.5
2423
#31
43.51.3
42.243.5
Auto14.1
Teleop25.0
End4.4
Second
1729
#25
46.11.5
43.244.7
Auto11.0
Teleop30.6
End4.4
red by 5.3
1100
#30
40.71.3
39.440.7
Auto8.7
Teleop27.5
End4.6
Third
7153
#23
44.71.5
41.843.3
Auto9.7
Teleop28.0
End7.0
red by 17.1
8544
#34
27.61.3
26.327.6
Auto5.5
Teleop16.3
End5.7