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Red186
8887.0
318225.4
176880.2
Blue175
287761.3
13146.8
207929.6
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions193105050150250300350186175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+15Teleop
+13Endgame
+11Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
0Leave6
8Coral scored#8
40Coral points38
40Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +19
23Coral scored#20
82Coral points71
4Processor algae#2
3Net algae#4
24Processor points12
12Net points16
36Algae points28
118Total teleop99
Reef
14L4#13
8L3#5
5L2#5
4L1 · trough#5
38Game pieces#34
BargeBlue +2
24Cage & park26
24Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +11
4Foul points6
186Total score175

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
88
#2
87.00.2
85.685.4
Auto19.9
Teleop56.0
End11.2
red by 25.7
2877
#32
61.30.8
59.660.4
Auto17.6
Teleop37.2
End6.5
Second
80.20.2
78.878.6
Auto23.9
Teleop46.3
End9.9
red by 33.4
131
#10
46.80.8
45.145.9
Auto10.5
Teleop31.3
End5.1
Third
3182
#57
25.40.2
25.525.4
Auto6.6
Teleop15.8
End3.0
blue by 4.2
2079
#36
29.60.8
27.928.7
Auto7.6
Teleop19.9
End2.1