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Red151
632874.0
7865.8
944320.8
Blue159
107351.0
632462.2
17731.1
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions166107050150200250300151159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+12
Endgame+14
Fouls+8
Autonomouslevel
0Leave3
6Coral scored#5
30Coral points27
30Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +12
16Coral scored#18
57Coral points63
2Processor algae#3
4Net algae#4
12Processor points18
16Net points16
28Algae points34
85Total teleop97
Reef
7L4#11
7L3#6
5L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
28Game pieces#30
BargeBlue +2
24Cage & park26
24Total endgame26
Penalties & totalBlue +8
12Foul points6
151Total score159

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6328
#40
74.00.4
72.772.3
Auto17.1
Teleop47.7
End9.2
red by 11.9
6324
#15
62.20.4
59.159.5
Auto14.9
Teleop42.0
End5.3
Second
78
#6
65.80.4
64.464.0
Auto19.1
Teleop36.4
End10.3
red by 14.8
1073
#19
51.00.4
47.948.3
Auto13.0
Teleop27.3
End10.7
Third
9443
#58
20.80.4
19.419.1
Auto4.2
Teleop12.5
End4.2
blue by 10.3
177
#59
31.10.4
28.028.4
Auto8.4
Teleop16.0
End6.8