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Red225
19074.3
694106.6
31933.6
Blue132
872425.7
237057.8
175741.2
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions212114050150250300225132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+35Auto
+97Teleop
+97Endgame
+93Fouls
AutonomousRed +35
0Leave3
10Coral scored#3
51Coral points13
51Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +62
33Coral scored#18
118Coral points64
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#3
12Processor points12
20Net points12
32Algae points24
150Total teleop88
Reef
20L4#7
9L3#8
6L2#4
8L1 · trough#2
50Game pieces#26
Bargelevel
24Cage & park24
24Total endgame24
Penalties & totalRed +93
0Foul points4
225Total score132

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
694
#3
106.60.4
103.8104.2
Auto26.3
Teleop65.3
End15.0
red by 48.8
2370
#49
57.80.1
57.157.2
Auto8.3
Teleop41.0
End8.4
Second
190
#4
74.30.4
71.471.9
Auto23.8
Teleop41.6
End8.9
red by 33.1
1757
#46
41.20.1
40.540.6
Auto8.4
Teleop24.6
End8.1
Third
319
#22
33.60.4
30.831.2
Auto4.8
Teleop23.1
End5.7
red by 7.9
8724
#61
25.70.1
25.625.7
Auto4.1
Teleop19.8
End1.8