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Red155
808541.1
115527.1
740784.3
Blue205
179680.7
15136.9
568773.2
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions150204050100250300350155205

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+25
Teleop+50
Endgame+50
Fouls+50
AutonomousBlue +25
6Leave6
4Coral scored#9
20Coral points45
26Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +25
23Coral scored#27
83Coral points96
1Processor algae#3
4Net algae#4
6Processor points18
16Net points16
22Algae points34
105Total teleop130
Reef
11L4#9
5L3#12
6L2#9
5L1 · trough#6
32Game pieces#43
Bargelevel
24Cage & park24
24Total endgame24
Penalties & totalBlue +50
0Foul points0
155Total score205

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7407
#11
84.30.0
84.784.8
Auto22.6
Teleop50.5
End11.3
red by 3.6
80.70.4
79.780.1
Auto22.0
Teleop47.2
End11.5
Second
41.10.0
41.541.5
Auto4.5
Teleop30.3
End6.3
blue by 32.2
5687
#37
73.20.4
72.372.7
Auto22.2
Teleop44.8
End6.3
Third
1155
#52
27.10.0
27.027.1
Auto5.6
Teleop21.0
End0.5
blue by 9.8
151
#50
36.90.4
36.136.5
Auto7.3
Teleop30.4
End-0.8