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Red175
287761.3
13146.8
207929.6
Blue206
172946.1
715344.7
16662.0
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11813950100150200250175206

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
+3Teleop
Endgame+29
Fouls+31
AutonomousBlue +14
0Leave3
6Coral scored#8
30Coral points41
30Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +17
29Coral scored#27
105Coral points96
2Processor algae#2
6Net algae#4
12Processor points12
24Net points16
36Algae points28
141Total teleop124
Reef
11L4#9
11L3#10
6L2#9
7L1 · trough#7
43Game pieces#41
BargeBlue +32
4Cage & park36
4Total endgame36
Penalties & totalBlue +31
0Foul points2
175Total score206

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2877
#32
61.30.9
60.461.3
Auto17.6
Teleop37.2
End6.5
blue by 0.7
166
#17
62.01.2
60.661.9
Auto12.3
Teleop39.5
End10.3
Second
131
#10
46.80.9
45.946.8
Auto10.5
Teleop31.3
End5.1
red by 0.7
1729
#25
46.11.2
44.745.9
Auto11.0
Teleop30.6
End4.4
Third
2079
#36
29.60.9
28.729.6
Auto7.6
Teleop19.9
End2.1
blue by 15.2
7153
#23
44.71.2
43.344.6
Auto9.7
Teleop28.0
End7.0