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Red49
964117.6
779616.2
69029.6
Blue126
964914.9
944914.1
312855.1
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3990020608010012014016049126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
Teleop+37
Endgame+51
Fouls+77
AutonomousBlue +1
3Leave3
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points7
9Total auto10
TeleoperatedBlue +36
7Coral scored#15
24Coral points54
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
6Processor points12
8Net points8
14Algae points20
38Total teleop74
Reef
2L4#4
4L3#6
1L2#4
1L1 · trough#2
11Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +77
0Foul points26
49Total score126

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9641
#23
17.60.5
15.815.2
Auto4.4
Teleop10.7
End2.5
blue by 37.5
55.11.2
49.150.3
Auto8.4
Teleop36.4
End10.2
Second
7796
#30
16.20.5
13.312.8
Auto5.7
Teleop9.3
End1.2
red by 1.3
9649
#29
14.91.2
15.316.5
Auto1.6
Teleop10.8
End2.4
Third
6902
#47
9.60.5
7.46.8
Auto2.3
Teleop4.8
End2.6
blue by 4.4
9449
#27
14.11.2
8.69.7
Auto4.1
Teleop8.6
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
30%Auto oddsMissed48%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsMissed61%Barge oddsEarned