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Red116
97196.7
635311.0
425337.5
Blue30
929215.1
713511.2
719010.8
71%Model gave it29%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59430208010012011630

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+16Teleop
+26Endgame
+86Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave6
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points3
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +19
7Coral scored#3
24Coral points11
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
6Processor points0
4Net points4
10Algae points4
34Total teleop15
Reef
2L4#2
2L3#1
1L2#1
2L1 · trough#0
9Game pieces#5
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +86
60Foul points0
116Total score30

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4253
#13
37.50.3
35.836.1
Auto9.1
Teleop23.7
End4.7
red by 22.4
9292
#20
15.11.2
18.217.0
Auto4.6
Teleop8.4
End2.1
Second
6353
#45
11.00.3
10.510.8
Auto1.4
Teleop9.0
End0.6
blue by 0.2
7135
#22
11.21.2
13.812.5
Auto4.8
Teleop3.2
End3.1
Third
9719
#41
6.70.3
6.97.2
Auto1.3
Teleop2.9
End2.4
blue by 4.1
7190
#40
10.81.2
9.27.9
Auto2.5
Teleop5.9
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
16%Auto oddsMissed33%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsEarned39%Barge oddsMissed