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Red56
71678.9
486218.9
728723.8
Blue63
833812.6
35954.2
1004410.0
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions479602060801201401605663

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
Teleop+7
Endgame+19
Fouls+7
AutonomousBlue +1
0Leave0
3Coral scored#3
15Coral points16
15Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +6
5Coral scored#8
19Coral points27
1Processor algae#0
0Net algae#1
6Processor points0
0Net points4
6Algae points4
25Total teleop31
Reef
2L4#3
2L3#4
3L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
9Game pieces#12
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +7
12Foul points0
56Total score63

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7287
#17
23.80.4
20.920.5
Auto5.3
Teleop15.0
End3.5
blue by 30.3
359
#1
54.22.0
53.251.2
Auto12.8
Teleop33.4
End7.9
Second
4862
#42
18.90.4
14.313.9
Auto4.6
Teleop13.8
End0.4
red by 6.3
8338
#28
12.62.0
13.611.6
Auto3.9
Teleop5.9
End2.8
Third
7167
#39
8.90.4
12.311.9
Auto1.8
Teleop6.0
End1.0
blue by 1.1
10.02.0
14.312.3
Auto3.0
Teleop5.0
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
31%Auto oddsEarned55%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
42%Barge oddsMissed68%Barge oddsEarned