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Red132
427058.4
35954.2
833916.1
Blue123
212245.6
639017.8
243845.7
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12311880100140160180132123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+9Teleop
+9Endgame
+9Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
0Leave3
7Coral scored#4
37Coral points20
37Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +5
19Coral scored#16
69Coral points56
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#4
6Processor points12
4Net points16
10Algae points28
79Total teleop84
Reef
8L4#7
7L3#7
7L2#4
4L1 · trough#2
28Game pieces#26
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +9
0Foul points0
132Total score123

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.40.6
52.352.9
Auto10.7
Teleop39.9
End7.9
red by 12.8
2438
#21
45.70.4
45.245.6
Auto9.4
Teleop33.3
End3.0
Second
359
#1
54.20.6
48.549.1
Auto12.8
Teleop33.4
End7.9
red by 8.6
45.60.4
45.145.5
Auto14.7
Teleop26.2
End4.6
Third
8339
#38
16.10.6
10.411.0
Auto5.4
Teleop8.2
End2.5
blue by 1.8
6390
#33
17.80.4
17.317.8
Auto4.2
Teleop12.3
End1.4